Easter and Easter Monday ruined by bad weather? What the forecasts say

Easter and Easter Monday are upon us and the attention of many is directed not only to traditions and holidays, but also to the uncertainties associated with the weather.
Hopes for peaceful, outdoor days could be threatened by uncertain weather forecasts.
At the moment all hypotheses are possible, especially those of potential bad weather capable of compromising Easter celebrations.
What do the experts say? read also School, Easter holidays 2024 and beyond: all long weekends and holidays until June Hypotheses Easter and Easter Monday: there will be bad weather The spring period, especially between March and April, is characterized by a dynamic, but above all variable, climate .
In the central and northern regions, due to the meridian exchanges of air masses and convergence zones, meteorological phenomena tend to be even more variable.
In fact, these phenomena can lead to sudden changes in weather conditions, with the risk of thunderstorms, storms and hailstorms.
Cold incursions at altitude can cause rain and thunderstorms, but are not likely to persist for entire days.
In the past there has been a change in weather, from rain to sun, within the same day.
Weather models therefore suggest possible significant changes in the climate, with the arrival of disturbances that could bring heavy rain and snowfall to the mountains, together with a possible return of the Arctic cold.
It is advisable to carefully monitor the weather forecast and prepare to face any climate changes in the coming weeks, but especially close to the holidays.
The forecast for the week of Easter and Easter Monday The latest indications for the weather for Easter and Easter Monday are not yet certain, but suggest the usual disturbances typical of the period.
European model ECMWF photographs the next two weeks before the holidays.
The week of March 18-25 is characterized by higher than average pressures over southern Europe due to the presence of anticyclones.
The modest disturbances, however, will be able to puncture the mesh of the subtropical belt and bring about worsening.
Temperatures will still be above seasonal averages.
While the week between 15th and 1st April is characterized by a gradual change in circulation.
As we read from the ECMWF, the geopotential maximums tend to intensify, one over the North Atlantic, the other over north-eastern Europe, while a pocket will involve the Western States.
In this context, it is therefore hypothesized that disturbances will enter the Western States and eventually affect Italy, where rainfall will increase again, especially in the North.
However, the temperature remains above average.
read also Is Easter on the pay slip considered a public holiday? Why does it always rain at Easter and Easter Monday? The perception that it always rains on Easter Monday is dictated by a combination of seasonal and often occasional factors.
The holiday in fact falls during spring, a period characterized by weather variations and atmospheric instability.
However, there is no scientific explanation for this perception.
Between March and April the seasonal variations are more pronounced.
This period is in fact characterized by an unstable and unpredictable climate, with a greater probability of precipitation.
This is the effect of multiple weather fronts, leading to changing weather conditions.
Sudden changes in temperature and atmospheric pressure therefore favor the formation of clouds and rain.
If historical coincidences are associated with these data, it is possible that the idea that Easter and Easter Monday are rainier than other holidays will be strengthened, even if there is no scientific basis to confirm the trend.
However, there is no univocal scientific explanation as to why it often seems to rain at Easter and Easter Monday.
It is more likely the result of a combination of seasonal and occasional climate factors.
So hoping for a year without rain is always possible.