June Economic and Political Forecast: Insights on the Arrival of a New Season

June Weather Forecast: Transition to Summer

As we approach summer, the weather in June offers some scattered rain showers.
But what can we expect in the upcoming weeks?

Weather Outlook for June 2024

June 2024 is expected to be a transitional month towards summer, with a turbulent start followed by a rise in temperatures due to subtropical high pressure.
While Northern and Central Italy might experience episodes of instability, the South and major islands will immediately enjoy summer conditions.

Early June Weather Patterns

The beginning of June, as experts explain, will be characterized by a low-pressure vortex affecting the weather conditions in much of Central-North Italy and some parts of the South.
The initial disturbance will lead to increased instability, with showers and thunderstorms affecting various regions.

Starting from June 3, the depression will move towards the Balkan Peninsula, maintaining unstable conditions over the Alps, Northeast, Apennines, and Adriatic regions.
On June 4, further unstable weather will impact the North, with marginal effects also in the inland areas of the Center.

From June 5 onwards, a reinforcement of high pressure from North Africa is expected, bringing warm subtropical air.
This will bring widespread stability and a rise in temperatures, exceeding normal values.
Summer weather is forecasted with temperatures touching 30 degrees in the North and surpassing this threshold in the Center-South, with peaks potentially exceeding 35 degrees in Sardinia.

Mid-June Weather Trends

In the second week of June, the high pressure system could weaken in the North, causing increased cloud cover and instability with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures will generally remain stable or slightly decrease in some regions, but with a rise in the Center-South.

Week-by-Week Weather Forecast for Different Regions of Italy

Northern Italy: From June 1-10, a prevailing north Atlantic flow will bring widespread precipitation, especially in the northern areas.
Temperatures will be around average or slightly below normal.
From June 10-17, Western flows will continue to bring instability with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures will remain seasonal.
From June 17-30, there might be an improvement in weather conditions with possible stabilization, although additional instability episodes are possible.

Central Italy: From June 1-10, Central Italy will experience some instability with scattered rains and thunderstorms, especially inland.
Temperatures will rise starting from June 5, with significant summer peaks.
From June 10-17, instability will persist, but with more sunny days.
Temperatures will be above the seasonal average.
From June 17-30, a strengthening high pressure system is expected, bringing stability and summer heat, especially in the Tyrrhenian regions.

Southern Italy: From June 1-10, the South will be less affected by disturbances compared to the North and Center.
Temperatures will be above the seasonal average, with hot and dry days.
From June 10-17, predominantly dry and sunny conditions will prevail, with temperatures above average.
From June 17-30, towards the end of the month, the South might experience a further temperature increase, with significant heat peaks and stable conditions.

Sardinia and Sicily: From June 1-10, both islands will start the month with some instability, but a rapid improvement from June 5 onwards will bring very high temperatures, especially in Sardinia.
From June 10-17, intense heat and dryness will characterize the second week of the month, with temperatures well above 35 degrees in some areas.
From June 17-30, conditions will remain stable and very hot until the end of the month, with possible extreme heat waves.