Political polls, Meloni in crisis: M5s and Forza Italia are doing well, Salvini and Renzi are down

The latest SWG political poll, released on 4 March by Enrico Mentana's La7 news program, would seem to be affected by the Sardinia effect, with the Giallorossi candidate Alessandra Todde winning the regional elections by just 1,600 votes, a margin that will avoid any possibility of a recount by the center-right.
In the regional elections in Sardinia, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni attempted a test of strength, imposing her trusted Paolo Truzzu as a candidate who however suffered a crushing defeat despite being favored by the forecast.
A slip that seems to have also affected the latest SWG survey.
Fratelli d'Italia would in fact be in sharp decline compared to last week, leaving 0.4% on the street.
Giorgia Meloni would always be largely in the lead, but this series of negative signs would seem to be a clear sign of a possible crisis.
The poll does not seem to smile on Matteo Salvini either, with the League having come out significantly reduced by the vote in Sardinia and now also in decline at a national level.
The votes lost by Salvini and Meloni, however, according to the survey, would always remain within the center-right, given the leap of Forza Italia which could now aspire to overtake the Northern League in the European elections in June.
read also European elections 2024, results predictions: who will win? Political polls: the M5s is doing well, Renzi and Calenda are declining.
As regards the number of opposition parties, the latest SWG political poll would seem to reward the 5 Star Movement which, in the regional elections in Sardinia, elected its first historic president of Region.
The Democratic Party, on the other hand, is stable, but is now closer to Giorgia Meloni given the defeat at Fratelli d'Italia: the gap between the two parties, however, would still be more than seven percentage points.
The step backwards indicated to Azione would be painless for Carlo Calenda, with the former minister who according to the poll would always be above the 4% threshold valid for the European elections.
Above the fateful bar there would also be the Greens-Left Alliance, while the decline of Italia Viva would seem to distance Matteo Renzi – a sure candidate for the European elections – from the threshold of 4%.
Finally, for the poll, all the other political forces would be even further from the threshold, many of which will have to try to make electoral agreements with other parties to try to bring their representatives to Brussels and Strasbourg.
Now all attention is turned towards the regional elections in Abruzzo next Sunday, with a possible victory for the united centre-left which could send the governing coalition into crisis.
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