Stock picking

“10 Italian Stocks Set to Surge Up to 90% Amid Interest Rate Cuts”

Are Small Caps and Mid Caps Favored by Rate Cuts?

On paper, small and mid-cap stocks benefit from rate cuts.
The decline in yields can lead to a revival of acquisitions and IPOs, favoring the mid and small-cap segments.
However, the worsening macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape heightens the risk of disappointing earnings forecasts, necessitating a cautious and selective investment approach.

Since the beginning of the year, the FTSE Italy Mid Cap index shows a positive trend, up 4.40%, while the FTSE Italy Small Cap index remains nearly flat, in contrast to the FTSE MIB’s impressive +10.7% performance.

Top Small and Mid Caps with Strong Potential

In the last month, a select group of mid and small-cap stocks in Piazza Affari has outperformed benchmark indices, demonstrating their ability to generate cash flow and leverage strong international trends.

According to the latest report from Intermonte, several Italian small and mid-caps exhibit exceptional growth potential, with forecasts suggesting increases of up to 90%.
Leading the charge is IGD, a retail real estate powerhouse, which has already surged 25% in the past month.
Another standout is Esprinet, a consumer electronics distributor, which enjoyed a 20% increase.

Other notable performers include Pharmanutra, active in the nutraceutical sector (+19%), and Txt E-solutions, specializing in software (+12%).
Additionally, OVS Group (+10%, apparel sector) and El.En (+9%, laser technology) are showing solid gains.

Companies like Tinexta, Iren, and Anima, each with a 7% growth and Webuild (+4% in a month and +38% year-to-date) also stand out.
These ten companies are demonstrating resilience that exceeds the overall market performance.
Intermonte experts suggest that their robust business models and long-term growth outlook present high-potential investment opportunities.

Potential Upside for 10 Italian Small Caps

Below are the 12-month target prices assigned by leading financial institutions:

Tinexta tops the list as it possesses the greatest upside, with a target price above €20 from Equita Sim, revised from €23 following adjustments to 2024-2026 estimates, reflecting a 10% drop in adjusted EPS.
This still indicates an 80% upside from current levels.
Websim-Intermonte is even more optimistic, issuing a buy rating with a target price of €24, suggesting a potential increase of about 90%.
OVS shows a potential growth of approximately 56%, according to Intesa Sanpaolo’s target price of €4.50.

Pharmanutra may rise to €82-86, indicating an upside potential of 42-50%.
El.En’s target stands at €13.30, pointing to a potential gain of 28-30%.
Iren’s maximum target is set at €2.60, implying a 30% upside, while IGD has a projected price of €3, with a potential 19% increase.

In summary, the gradual recovery of demand coupled with stringent operational control substantiates EBITDA forecasts and offers growth prospects for these firms, making them attractive to discerning investors.

Expert insights suggest that the current economic environment nudges investors toward strategic selections for maximum benefit.

Disclaimer

The information contained in this article should not be considered as the sole basis for making investment decisions.
Readers retain full freedom and responsibility in their investment choices, given their unique risk tolerance and timelines.
This article’s content is for informational purposes only, and its announcement does not constitute an offer or solicitation for public savings.

Author: Hermes A.I.

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