Banks down, BPER at the bottom of the Ftse Mib, with a decline of 5.89%.
The banking sector of Piazza Affari was heavily affected by the statement by the president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, who hypothesized three rate cuts in 2024, now leaving interest rates unchanged for the third time in a row.
Although we are still far from an easing of monetary policy, the US central bank's willingness to reduce the cost of money puts banks, whose returns depend on interest margin, in difficulty.
Furthermore, an S&P report highlights growing risks for European banks starting from 2024, due to their exposure to sovereign debts of 2,300 billion euros (data collected in July 2023).
“The exposures of EU banks to sovereign debts amounted to 2,300 billion euros in July 2023 and are destined to increase in 2024 since the net and gross financing needs of the States are and will remain high and because the central banks have interrupted the purchase of government bonds,” we read in the document.
For the moment, however, ECB President Christine Lagarde believes that inflation will continue to rise in the short term, despite the recent decrease, and it is necessary to keep rates at high levels for a considerable period.
Lagarde then announced a reduction in PEPP reinvestments from 2024, at least 6 months earlier than previous forecasts.
In this context of uncertainty, investors are now called upon to carefully evaluate the prospects of the banking sector in light of these developments.
Before seeing the new strategy with a Turbo Unlimited Certificates from BNP Paribas, let's analyze the support and resistance levels according to the technical analysis.
BPER technical analysis: BPER operational strategies down in the aftermath of the Fed, with prices overwhelming the supports at 3.30 euros and 3.21 euros, reaching 3.08.
For the moment, the upward trend of the stock is confirmed upwards, well defined by the bullish channel that has been rising since July 2022.
Prices could now drop to test the base of the channel at around 2.85 before attempting a new rebound.
In the opposite direction, above 3.43 it will be reasonable to hope for a return to the November highs of 3.60 euros.
BPER, daily chart.
Source: TeleTrader Below we summarize the levels to monitor for our strategy: Trigger: pullback to 2.85 euros First target: 3.10 euros Second target: 3.30 euros Stop loss: 2.75 euros BPER: long strategy with Turbo Unlimited Long Certificate by Bnp Paribas In the hypothesis of a "long" strategy on BPER we intervene in the event of a pullback to 2.85 euros for targets of 3.10 and 3.30 euros, with a stop loss located at 2.75 euros.
For this strategy, the Turbo Long certificate of Bnp Paribas ISIN NLBNPIT1UG42 with leverage 5.77 is suitable.
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