2024 Liguria Elections: What You Need to Know About the Bucci-Orlando Challenge and Poll Insights

Election Predictions for Liguria 2024: An Uncertain Landscape

The political climate ahead of the Liguria 2024 elections remains shrouded in uncertainty as the polls are currently suspended for legal reasons.
Voting will occur on Sunday, October 27 (from 7 AM to 11 PM) and Monday, October 28 (from 7 AM to 3 PM).
Unlike the 2020 elections where Giovanni Toti triumphed by a considerable margin over Ferruccio Sansa, this year’s dynamics present a different challenge.

Giovanni Toti’s recent resignation due to a judicial inquiry resulting in a plea deal of two years and a month has significantly altered the landscape.
Meanwhile, the center-left appears united in support of Andrea Orlando.
In response, the center-right has introduced a major player—Marco Bucci, the outgoing mayor of Genoa—and broadened its coalition to include Alternativa Popolare, led by Stefano Bandecchi.

A Diverse Candidate Pool

The candidate field for the Liguria 2024 elections is expansive and includes figures such as Nicola Morra (Uniti per la Costituzione), Francesco Toscano (Democrazia Sovrana Popolare), and several others aiming for influence.
For an in-depth breakdown of the electoral programs and proposals from each candidate, we encourage readers to explore our detailed guide on voting in Liguria.

Looking Beyond Polls: Who Will Win?

As Italy enters the two-week ban on electoral polls before voting, analyzing the potential outcomes is particularly complex.
Recent elections have illustrated that polls can be misleading; for example, in Sardinia, the center-right was favored but lost to M5S candidate Alessandra Todde.

The seven additional candidates could siphon votes from both major coalitions, making it difficult to predict the outcome between Bucci and Orlando.
While the center-left outperformed the center-right in the European elections, the regional scenario may pivot differently based on local issues and the cloud of Toti’s judicial troubles.

Voter turnout, especially among older demographics who may be swayed by unfavorable weather conditions, will also play a crucial role in the election’s results.
Ultimately, moderate voters could prove decisive.
Should they rally behind Orlando, he could clinch victory; otherwise, a shift in Liguria’s political landscape may be challenging.