The latest supermedia of political polls – processed by YouTrend for Agi and released on 23 February – arrives at a very delicate moment, with the polls for the regional elections in Sardinia which will open on Sunday and the government which has split on the issue of the third mandate to the regional presidents.
These fibrillations within the majority would seem to be reflected in the political polls, with both the Brothers of Italy and the League falling compared to the same calculation made last week.
However, Giorgia Meloni would remain firmly in the lead with the Democratic Party – seen as stable by the polls – which would always be at a safe distance, but these continuous negative signs certainly will not please the prime minister.
The situation is much worse for Matteo Salvini, who was "defeated" in the commission regarding the third mandate for the regional presidents and once again indicated as having a decline in voting intentions.
Thus the Northern League would not only be far from double figures, but would seriously risk ending up behind Forza Italia in the European elections which will be held on 8 and 9 June.
Also considering We Moderates – the so-called "fourth leg" of the government majority -, in total the center-right would be down 0.3% in the polls, with the centrists nibbling away votes from Meloni and Salvini.
read also European elections 2024, results predictions: who will win? Political polls: M5s, Calenda and Renzi do well.
The super average of the political polls carried out in the last week sees the 5 Star Movement growing, with the Five Star Movement now stable for some time between 15 and 16%: a good percentage which allows it to be indispensable to the Democratic Party if it wants to think about worrying Giorgia Meloni.
Among the parties whose objective in the next European elections is to exceed the 4% threshold, the small step forward made by Action would allow Carlo Calenda to reach the coveted bar.
Identical situation according to the polls for the Green-Left Alliance, which however in the European elections could suffer from competition from the Pace, Terra Dignità list launched by Michele Santoro.
Positive sign also for Italia Viva and +Europa, but according to the polls both Matteo Renzi and Emma Bonino would be under 4%: the most logical thing would be to join forces, but the former radicals have not yet decided whether to accept the court of former prime minister or that of Carlo Calenda.
Finally, Italexit and Unione Popolare, two political protest forces which, however, in recent years do not seem to have managed to make inroads into our electorate, would be far from the threshold.
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