Global markets are preparing to close a week marked by significant events that have left a mark on world exchanges, from the European elections to the EU tariffs on Chinese electric cars, up to the Fed meeting and the recent closure of the Japanese central bank’s gathering.
As Europe grapples with political instability triggered by the rise of far-right parties in the EU Parliament and the anticipated snap elections in France, investors are closely monitoring the U.S., awaiting an expected rate cut that has not materialized yet.
Currencies are also in the spotlight, with the yen taking the lead following the Bank of Japan’s recent announcements.
1.
Weakening Yen: The yen plummeted to over a month-low after the Bank of Japan maintained a tight grip on rates and stated its intention to reduce bond purchases in the future, contrary to market expectations.
The yen fell approximately 0.6% to 157.99 per dollar, the weakest level in over a month.
2.
French Bonds Under Pressure: French bonds faced a significant downturn amidst political uncertainty, with concerns rising over potential fiscal policies under Marine Le Pen’s far-right party, which could increase the country’s debt burden already under strain.
3.
Euro-Dollar Decline: The EUR/USD pair traded flat around 1.0730 on Friday, with potential limited upside due to uncertainties surrounding the European parliamentary elections.
The recent rate cut by the ECB compared to the Fed’s current stance has widened the policy gap between the two central banks, potentially exposing the EUR/USD exchange rate to further weakness in the short term.
4.
G7’s Stance Against Russia: On the geopolitical front, markets are also monitoring the ongoing G7 summit in Italy.
The U.S.
President Joe Biden welcomed a new security agreement, including plans for $50 billion in aid to Ukraine and expanded sanctions against Moscow, sending a clear message to Russian President Vladimir Putin.
The latest round of U.S.
sanctions effectively ended three decades of daily dollar-ruble exchanges, transactions that began in the twilight of the Soviet Union.
Despite the volatility and uncertainties, global markets remain resilient, adjusting to the ever-changing geopolitical and economic landscapes.
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