Political Surveys: Meloni and PD Thrive, 5-Star Movement in Crisis, Renzi Disappears

Latest Political Survey Results

The most recent political survey by Tecnè, released on June 22nd, seems to reflect the results of the European elections.
Before the halt in the dissemination of surveys prior to the vote, various polls in Italy had underestimated some parties and, conversely, “inflated” the percentages of others.

The only certainty seems to be represented by Giorgia Meloni, with Fratelli d’Italia showing growth compared to the excellent result in the European elections.
The survey indicates that the premier’s party is increasingly close to the psychological threshold of 30%.

Good news also for Forza Italia, which, now evaluated individually and not in tandem with Noi Moderati, would achieve a higher result compared to the one recorded on July 8th and 9th.

Within the government, the only negative sign in the survey would be reserved for Matteo Salvini: for the League, it would be a minimal decline, following the mediocre result achieved by the party in the European elections.

In general, the center-right seems to be in excellent health according to the survey, with Meloni and her associates apparently not being affected by the opening of the infringement procedure and the sacrifices that Italians will soon be called to make to reduce our public debt as requested by Brussels.

Party Politics Overview

If Giorgia Meloni is reported to be advancing in Tecnè’s political survey, the Democratic Party would not be lagging behind, with Elly Schlein maintaining pace with the Prime Minister.

The Democratic Party has now returned to being stably – and by far – the main opposition party, to the point that Italy is once again talking about a return to the bipartisanship that was swept away by the advent of the Five Star Movement.

The Five Star Movement suffered a heavy blow in the European elections, and the survey seems to confirm the party below the 10% threshold, to the extent that Giuseppe Conte’s leadership is now being questioned by several prominent figures who would like a return to the Movement’s “origins.”

Furthermore, the excellent moment of the Green-Left Alliance is confirmed, no longer a mysterious entity in our politics but a leading force with significant growth margins.
It is worth mentioning that the success of the Green-Left Alliance occurred despite the competition from Pace Terra Dignità, the movement led by Michele Santoro, which would also confirm its presence beyond 2% in the survey.

Carlo Calenda would remain stable – the former minister is indicated to be above the 3% threshold of the political elections.
Meanwhile, Italia Viva with Matteo Renzi seems to be dwindling, as Renzi is reportedly trying to rebuild a common ground for moderates that would include not only Azione but also +Europa.